Abulsme.com: ECP Tweet

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-07-01 (UTC)

22:52:32 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Biden 38.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/hY0rtgqLRo
23:07:00 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Booker 32.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/kW4ps74CgW
23:09:17 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Sanders 34.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/kNLWvaJqEf
23:12:54 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Harris 33.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/qebOscneAc

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-28 (UTC)

17:53:02 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Biden 54.0% to Trump 46.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/26Vmf3wwbj
17:55:26 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Sanders 53.0% to Trump 47.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/8InnFssfPt
17:55:26 Sanders vs. Trump state category change: ME-All has moved from Strong Sanders to Solid Sanders #Election2020 https://t.co/8InnFssfPt
17:57:43 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Warren 52.0% to Trump 48.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/M0AnlXpAXU
17:59:34 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Harris 52.0% to Trump 48.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/6DDB1dqzvi
18:01:53 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Buttigieg 51.0% to Trump 49.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/QMFEGkaas3

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-23 (UTC)

21:30:42 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 21:29:16 Most Dems improve against Trump while Buttigieg weakens
https://t.co/wNAINDVQZC
#Election2020 https://t.co/pCmQlO0b13

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-20 (UTC)

23:24:46 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2019-06-17 to 2019-06-18 – Biden 49.0% to Trump 46.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/MjZoxp723A
23:27:08 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2019-06-17 to 2019-06-18 – Buttigieg 44.0% to Trump 47.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/fSx918jQ9T
23:55:19 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2019-06-17 to 2019-06-18 – Sanders 48.0% to Trump 47.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/p2IjhzObaA
23:55:23 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2019-06-17 to 2019-06-18 – Harris 46.0% to Trump 47.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/3Q79Jeb3LL
23:55:41 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2019-06-17 to 2019-06-18 – Warren 46.0% to Trump 48.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/0tInwJbbc0

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-19 (UTC)

03:09:48 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 03:07:41 Trump Internal Polls All Good News For Biden
https://t.co/dya7mELZHW
#Election2020 https://t.co/EnJiiDnhg6
21:18:07 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-12 – Sanders 35.0% to Trump 57.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/D5uYWe0cvR
21:19:41 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-12 – Biden 37.0% to Trump 57.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/TDHU02Fweh
21:21:49 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-12 – Warren 28.0% to Trump 60.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/i8dYo9hFxp
21:24:52 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-12 – Buttigieg 28.0% to Trump 60.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/2saSkvUftx
21:31:13 Poll Added: Firehouse in WI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Biden 46.0% to Trump 40.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/qLo8tOxrJS
21:33:10 Poll Added: Firehouse in WI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Sanders 47.0% to Trump 40.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/3QGkNIGNdj
21:35:09 Poll Added: Firehouse in WI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Warren 41.0% to Trump 41.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/znag6oGkOq
21:35:10 Warren vs. Trump state category change: WI has moved from Strong Warren to Weak Warren #Election2020 https://t.co/znag6oGkOq
21:40:16 Trump best case vs. Warren has changed: Warren 214 to Trump 324 -> Warren 204 to Trump 334 #Election2020 https://t.co/T22LMvRZFA
21:44:25 Poll Added: Firehouse in WI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Buttigieg 39.0% to Trump 41.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/DfJQKgNg8C
21:46:47 Poll Added: Firehouse in MI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Biden 46.0% to Trump 43.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/RBvZZIcWeK
21:48:20 Poll Added: Firehouse in MI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Sanders 44.0% to Trump 44.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/rmlZfphE3h
21:49:58 Poll Added: Firehouse in MI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Warren 41.0% to Trump 43.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/Wjiiiqj3pO
21:52:27 Poll Added: Firehouse in MI from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Buttigieg 40.0% to Trump 44.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/J5OoK0ZY8E
21:55:08 Poll Added: Firehouse in PA from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Biden 43.0% to Trump 42.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/PyRqfR2Hjg
21:57:27 Poll Added: Firehouse in PA from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Sanders 41.0% to Trump 44.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/PdgrwBlORl
21:59:34 Poll Added: Firehouse in PA from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Warren 34.0% to Trump 45.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/SjBGrQTH78
22:01:52 Poll Added: Firehouse in PA from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-13 – Buttigieg 32.0% to Trump 45.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/kfX0lxvgM5
22:04:58 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2019-06-12 to 2019-06-17 – Biden 50.0% to Trump 41.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/sI3m1AfuCN
22:05:13 Buttigieg vs. Trump tipping point change: Buttigieg by 1.1% in IA -> Buttigieg by 0.6% in PA #Election2020 https://t.co/xnCD8n7ZxH
22:07:27 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2019-06-12 to 2019-06-17 – Sanders 48.0% to Trump 42.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/h0j0QT9Bty
22:07:27 Sanders vs. Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Sanders #Election2020 https://t.co/h0j0QT9Bty
22:10:20 Sanders vs. Trump tipping point change: Sanders by 1% in IA -> Sanders by 1.3% in FL #Election2020 https://t.co/L8v9bNrvJg
22:10:21 Sanders vs. Trump expected case change: Sanders 272 to Trump 266 -> Sanders 301 to Trump 237 #Election2020 https://t.co/L8v9bNrvJg
22:14:34 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2019-06-12 to 2019-06-17 – Warren 47.0% to Trump 43.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/tOeyUlelef
22:14:35 Warren vs. Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Warren #Election2020 https://t.co/tOeyUlelef
22:15:15 Warren vs. Trump tipping point change: Trump by 0.1% in VA -> Warren by 0.5% in FL #Election2020 https://t.co/BowAH16JH9
22:15:16 Warren vs. Trump expected case change: Warren 266 to Trump 272 -> Warren 295 to Trump 243 #Election2020 https://t.co/BowAH16JH9
22:18:36 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2019-06-12 to 2019-06-17 – Harris 45.0% to Trump 44.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/dR4UwoQA3r
22:20:54 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2019-06-12 to 2019-06-17 – Buttigieg 44.0% to Trump 43.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/YMVzLAtpTX
22:23:01 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2019-06-12 to 2019-06-17 – O’Rourke 45.0% to Trump 44.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/7tmNiHvOE3
22:25:15 O’Rourke vs. Trump tipping point change: Trump by 0.5% in FL -> Trump by 0.3% in FL #Election2020 https://t.co/QDW9cA8tuh
22:27:16 Poll Added: St. Pete in FL from 2019-06-15 to 2019-06-16 – Biden 47.3% to Trump 46.8% #Election2020 https://t.co/VPGClM5atK
22:58:03 Biden Biden 47.3 vs. Trump state category change: FL has moved from to Weak Trump #Election2020 https://t.co/H6a2MhxY8V
23:05:04 Biden Biden 47.3 vs. Trump state category change: FL has moved from to Weak Trump #Election2020 https://t.co/H6a2MhPz0t

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-16 (UTC)

17:17:48 A few quick notes on the leaked Trump internal polls of Biden vs. Trump. [1/8]
17:18:10 1st: I am going to include them. Some aggregators automatically exclude them because of potential selective release bias, etc. I default to including as much as possible. So I’ll be adding them shortly. [2/8] in reply to ElecCollPolls
17:18:25 2nd: I’m going with ABC on the field dates, not NBC. ABC reports March 15th to March 28th which is exactly two weeks. NBC reports March 13th to March 28th which includes two extra days. These almost certainly are the same batch of polls though. [3/8] in reply to ElecCollPolls
17:19:47 3rd: ABC and NBC differ slightly on their reports of the results in PA, WI, and FL. In these cases I will include both, but weighted as half polls, just as I do when a pollster reports results in multiple ways (with & without 3rd parties, registered vs likely voters, etc.) [4/8] in reply to ElecCollPolls
17:20:52 4th: For some states this leak only includes margins. Election Graphs only uses margin in calculations, but it displays & reports candidate results too. For the states where we only have leaked margins I will log the polls such that Trump-Biden=Margin and Trump+Biden=100%. [5/8] in reply to ElecCollPolls
17:21:19 5th: If a range of possible margins is reported rather than a specific margin, I will log these as the center of that range. [6/8] in reply to ElecCollPolls
17:21:32 6th: If more detailed leaks become available, I will adjust how these polls are recorded to reflect any new information. [7/8] in reply to ElecCollPolls
17:21:56 OK, now time to add these poll results… [8/8] in reply to ElecCollPolls
17:26:50 Poll Added: Trump Internal (ABC) [2] in PA from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 55.0% to Trump 39.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/kdXcPoL3RW
17:29:10 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) [2] in PA from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 55.8% to Trump 44.3% #Election2020 https://t.co/dyFLlH81om
17:31:56 Poll Added: Trump Internal (ABC) [2] in WI from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 51.0% to Trump 41.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/NBJqwM3iOA
17:35:10 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) [2] in WI from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 55.8% to Trump 44.3% #Election2020 https://t.co/Q1SyGfN9dD
17:41:08 Poll Added: Trump Internal (ABC) [2] in FL from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 53.5% to Trump 46.5% #Election2020 https://t.co/Owd9gmnExV
17:41:08 Biden vs. Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Biden #Election2020 https://t.co/Owd9gmnExV
17:43:50 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) [2] in FL from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 55.8% to Trump 44.3% #Election2020 https://t.co/0XQCFvFkKv
17:45:08 Biden vs. Trump tipping point change: Biden by 0.5% in NC -> Biden by 1% in FL #Election2020 https://t.co/KRacBGXvHZ
17:45:09 Biden vs. Trump expected case change: Biden 299 to Trump 239 -> Biden 328 to Trump 210 #Election2020 https://t.co/KRacBGXvHZ
17:51:34 Poll Added: Trump Internal (ABC) [2] in TX from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 49.0% to Trump 51.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/DHRxjuSQO3
17:53:11 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) [2] in TX from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 49.0% to Trump 51.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/tQ6RBWDAPB
17:56:38 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in VA from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 55.0% to Trump 38.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/8RhuSA0HEq
17:56:39 Biden vs. Trump state category change: VA has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Biden #Election2020 https://t.co/8RhuSA0HEq
18:00:09 Biden vs. Trump tipping point change: Biden by 1% in FL -> Biden by 3.4% in ME-CD2 #Election2020 https://t.co/qVfIlhMIyb
18:00:09 Biden vs. Trump expected case change: Biden 328 to Trump 210 -> Biden 341 to Trump 197 #Election2020 https://t.co/qVfIlhMIyb
18:06:58 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in ME-All from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 53.0% to Trump 38.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/yWXttMhO2W
18:06:59 Biden vs. Trump state category change: ME-All has moved from Strong Biden to Solid Biden #Election2020 https://t.co/yWXttMhO2W
18:08:44 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in MN from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 54.0% to Trump 40.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/g8L2EBX2NE
18:10:21 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in MI from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 53.0% to Trump 40.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/RbBnmQRjl8
18:12:11 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in NC from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 51.0% to Trump 43.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/gGJEt2Mrnf
18:27:44 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in OH from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 46.0% to Trump 45.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/ijM98g5DMh
18:28:02 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in IA from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 52.0% to Trump 45.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/WG22dPEu7O
18:28:12 Poll Added: Trump Internal (NBC) in GA from 2019-03-15 to 2019-03-28 – Biden 53.0% to Trump 47.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/aPpeJiQJ6Z
18:35:00 OK, that is it for the leaked Trump internal polls. There were category changes that resulted, so I’ll be doing a blog post soon to talk about them over at @ElectionGraphs.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-14 (UTC)

19:18:49 Poll Added: EPIC-MRA in MI from 2019-06-08 to 2019-06-12 – Biden 52.0% to Trump 41.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/pk2gfyyCgb

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-12 (UTC)

02:55:36 Poll Added: Siena in NY from 2019-06-02 to 2019-06-06 – Gillibrand 58.0% to Trump 34.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/6Kz4dQPMoo
07:24:49 Poll Added: Siena in NY from 2019-06-02 to 2019-06-06 – de Blasio 48.0% to Trump 36.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/x4R2TuhgQv

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-08 (UTC)

20:09:05 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 20:08:30 Biden makes NC blue, mixed changes in MI, and what about TX?
https://t.co/P0coh8GhrG
#Election2020 https://t.co/C5WhqjA5Dl
20:24:29 Poll Added: Spry in NC from 2019-05-25 to 2019-06-01 – Biden 41.096% to Trump 51.781% #Election2020 https://t.co/FlidPwVBQK
20:25:07 Biden vs. Trump tipping point change: Biden by 1.9% in NC -> Biden by 0.5% in NC #Election2020 https://t.co/Z8sSbEaEn0

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-07 (UTC)

02:53:27 @jhkersting @Polit_eurOpines Election Graphs keeps poll data in text files, then uses php (and some shell script) to preprocess some things; then php, JavaScript, and Highcharts to actually show the webpages. The code is really very messy, but happy to share samples if it would be helpful. Feel free to DM. in reply to jhkersting
02:57:29 @jhkersting @Polit_eurOpines In 2008 & 2012 I did @ElectionGraphs using a wiki, Excel, and screenshots of Excel graphs, plus posting commentary on my personal blog. So I feel the Excel pain. For 2016 I decided I had to automate for my own sanity. I’m in the process of adding more stuff for 2020 of course. <symbol> in reply to ElecCollPolls
03:10:49 @Polit_eurOpines @jhkersting @ElectionGraphs You can see one of the text (csv) files that powers @ElectionGraphs here: https://t.co/87p5MNyQAO – The php on the site reads that (and a couple others) and generates the various web pages and graphs. in reply to Polit_eurOpines
03:20:12 @Polit_eurOpines @jhkersting @ElectionGraphs I was more familiar with PHP than JS when I started (still am). Had to learn a lot of JS to drive the HighCharts though. So all the math and HTML generation is PHP plus some scattered unix shell stuff, but JavaScript drives the charts. in reply to Polit_eurOpines

Site Controls

Categories

Calendar

Search New Archive

AbulWiki

Other Stuff

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-07-01 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-28 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-23 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-20 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-19 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-16 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-14 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-12 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-08 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-07 (UTC)

Twitter Archives

Archives

Site Controls

Categories

Calendar

Search New Archive

AbulWiki

Other Stuff

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Twitter Archives

Archives